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Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Canadian officials: Considering limiting electricity to the United States to deal with the threat of US tariffs, Governor Doug Ford of Ontario, Canada, said on the 12 th that Ontario is considering limiting the supply of electricity to the United States as the ultimate means to deal with the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau held a meeting with provincial and regional officials on the 11th to discuss how to deal with the Trump tariff threat. According to local media reports, Ford said after the meeting that Ontario is preparing a list of retaliatory measures, including restricting the export of electricity to the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)

Alipay sells cryptocurrency funds? Originally an indirect investment in a product of Huabao Fund, the subscription has been suspended. Recently, some netizens found that Huabao Fund promoted a fund product issued by Huabao Fund in Alipay-QDII-FOF-LOF C (hereinafter referred to as "Huabao Overseas Technology C"), promoting "riding the wind to encrypt the rising market of currency" and "the representative of subversive innovation technology: cryptocurrency". According to the report of Warburg Overseas Technology C in the third quarter of this year, among the top ten funds with the highest fair value at the end of the reporting period, five were only index funds managed by Ark Investment Management under Cathy Wood, the "Mujie", accounting for 73.12% of the total. The reporter logged on to several consignment platforms such as Ant Fortune, Licaitong, Tiantian Fund, China Merchants Bank, Snowball Fund and found that the product was sold on the above platforms, but from December 11th, the large subscription of Class A shares and Class C shares was suspended, and the daily limit for each person was 1000 yuan RMB. However, on December 13th, Huabao Overseas Science and Technology Stock Securities Investment Fund announced that it would suspend subscription and regular fixed investment business. (21 Finance)The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Zhejiang: By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan. The Office of the Leading Group for High-quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in Zhejiang Province recently issued the Implementation Plan for High-quality Development of Industrial Machine Tool Industry in Zhejiang Province (2025-2027). The "Implementation Plan" proposes that by 2025, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 120 billion yuan, making it the highland of the national high-end industrial machine tool industry. Positive results have been achieved in the construction of the national advanced manufacturing cluster of East Zhejiang industrial machine tools, with 30 new "little giant" enterprises specializing in manufacturing and 50 new products. Form a number of application scenarios with national promotion value. By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan, the supporting level of key core technologies and key functional components will be greatly improved, and the level of integrated application will be at the forefront of the country.

Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.In November 2024, the securities industry was fined 38 tickets for brokerage business, and the Shanghai Securities Industry Association released the dynamics of supervision and punishment for brokers in November 2024. According to open market statistics, in November 2024, securities companies, their branches and securities practitioners received 38 letters of various administrative penalties, administrative regulatory measures and self-regulatory measures. From the specific field of punishment business, there are 15 brokerage businesses, 12 investment banking businesses, 7 internal management companies, 2 research businesses and 2 practitioners' practice behaviors.